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Set 2: Inferences (Intermediate)

Explanation

Answer: B

PASSAGE

Researchers studying earthquake prediction have found that certain seismic patterns often precede major quakes. However, similar patterns frequently occur without subsequent earthquakes, making false alarms common. Critics argue that issuing warnings based on current methods could cause unnecessary evacuations and erode public trust in scientific predictions.

What can be inferred about the current state of earthquake prediction?

A. Scientists can predict earthquakes with complete accuracy.
B. Prediction remains imprecise, creating a dilemma between precaution and practicality.✓ Correct
C. Seismic patterns are irrelevant to earthquake prediction.
D. Public trust in science is currently at an all-time high.

Detailed Explanation

'False alarms common' + 'erode public trust' = imprecision creates tension between warning and credibility.

Key Evidence:

• "false alarms common"

• "unnecessary evacuations"

• "erode public trust"

Why others are wrong: A ('False alarms common' = not accurate.), C (Patterns do precede quakes—just inconsistently.), D (Warnings could 'erode trust.').

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