Set 2: Inferences (Intermediate)
Explanation
PASSAGE
Researchers studying earthquake prediction have found that certain seismic patterns often precede major quakes. However, similar patterns frequently occur without subsequent earthquakes, making false alarms common. Critics argue that issuing warnings based on current methods could cause unnecessary evacuations and erode public trust in scientific predictions.
What can be inferred about the current state of earthquake prediction?
Detailed Explanation
This question asks you to draw a logical conclusion from the text. 'False alarms common' + 'erode public trust' = imprecision creates tension between warning and credibility. A valid inference must be supported by evidence in the passage, even if not stated directly. Look for clues in the text that strongly suggest the answer. Avoid conclusions that require assumptions beyond what's written. Valid inferences are strongly supported by multiple pieces of evidence in the text. Be cautious of choices that go too far beyond what the passage actually states. The best inference is the one most directly supported by textual evidence.
Key Evidence:
• "false alarms common"
• "unnecessary evacuations"
• "erode public trust"
Why others are wrong: A (Warnings could 'erode trust.'), B ('False alarms common' = not accurate.), C (Patterns do precede quakes—just inconsistently.).
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