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Set 3: Inferences (Advanced)

Explanation

Answer: B

PASSAGE

Climate models inevitably involve simplifications—they cannot capture every variable affecting global temperature. Skeptics argue this renders predictions unreliable. Defenders counter that all models simplify yet can still yield useful forecasts, just as weather predictions are valuable despite being imperfect. The debate concerns what standards of certainty scientific policy advice requires.

What underlying question structures the debate?

A. Climate models are completely accurate.
B. What level of certainty is required for scientific findings to inform policy decisions.✓ Correct
C. Weather prediction is always wrong.
D. Simplification makes models useless.

Detailed Explanation

'What standards of certainty scientific policy advice requires' = the underlying question.

Key Evidence:

• "debate concerns what standards of certainty scientific policy advice requires"

Why others are wrong: A (Models involve 'simplifications.'), C (Weather predictions are 'valuable.'), D (Simplified models can still be 'useful.').

🎉 Set Complete!

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