4

Set 3: Probability (Advanced)

Explanation

Answer: A

PROBLEM

In a game, you win $95 with probability 20% and $14 with probability 30%. What is the expected value?

In a game, you win $95 with probability 20% and $14 with probability 30%. What is the expected value?

A.

23.2

✓ Correct
B.

18.2

C.

46.4

D.

28.2

Detailed Explanation

Choice A is the best answer. E = 95(0.2) + 14(0.3) = 19 + 4.2 = $23.2

Why others are wrong:
B: 18.2 is incorrect because it does not satisfy the equation.
C: 46.4 is incorrect because it does not satisfy the equation.
D: 28.2 is incorrect because it does not satisfy the equation.