4
advanced-math

A virus spreads according to I(t)=100001+9999e1.5tI(t) = \frac{10000}{1 + 9999e^{-1.5t}} where tt is days. How long until 5,000 people are infected?

A

About 6.1 days

B

About 10 days

C

About 3 days

D

About 15 days

Correct Answer: A

Choice A is the correct answer. Solve for tt when I(t)=5000I(t) = 5000.

  1. Equation: 5000=100001+9999e1.5t5000 = \frac{10000}{1 + 9999e^{-1.5t}}.
  2. Multiply: 5000(1+9999e1.5t)=100005000(1 + 9999e^{-1.5t}) = 10000.
  3. Simplify: 1+9999e1.5t=21 + 9999e^{-1.5t} = 2.
  4. Isolate: 9999e1.5t=19999e^{-1.5t} = 1, so e1.5t=19999e^{-1.5t} = \frac{1}{9999}.
  5. Natural log: 1.5t=ln(19999)=ln(9999)9.21-1.5t = \ln(\frac{1}{9999}) = -\ln(9999) \approx -9.21.
  6. Solve: t=9.211.56.146.1t = \frac{9.21}{1.5} \approx 6.14 \approx 6.1 days.

💡 Strategic Tip: In logistic models, half of carrying capacity occurs when Aert=1Ae^{-rt} = 1.

Choice B is incorrect because this is too long. Choice C is incorrect because this is too short. Choice D is incorrect because this is way too long.